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Why a Gold Standard keeps
your wealth safe?
The Gold Standard is a monetary system
in which a region's common media of exchange are paper notes which
are freely convertible into fixed quantities of gold. Under a gold
standard, money issuers normally stand willing to redeem their
notes, upon demand, for gold. The gold standard is not currently
used by any government, having been replaced completely by fiat
currency, and private currencies backed by gold are rare. For further information, please see:
http://www.how-to-invest.co.uk/gold.htm
Gold standards should not be confused with their historical
predecessor, "gold-coin standards," wherein taxes are payable in
either gold coins or overvalued, government-minted, less expensive,
coins.
The main purpose of either government money system has historically
been to provide seigniorage, or money-creation profit, to
governmental leaders in order to provide them with general
purchasing power during emergencies, especially those leaders who
are legislatively constrained and therefore unable to raise taxes in
order to execute the defence commitments that are required for the
survival of their states. There is a good argument that governments
who operate fiat currencies are more likely to waste money on public
expenditure; and are more likely to get involved in wars abroad,
than countries with no currency other than gold.
Gold standards replaced gold-coin standards in the 17th-19th
centuries in the West as the extent of defensive warfare expanded to
where the gold-coin standards were no longer sufficient to the task.
A similar history generated a gold standard in China from the 9th
through the early 17th century.
Returning to the gold standard could
make the world a safer place because it would mean that governments
would have to justify their expenditure to their population.
History
Government-minted gold and silver coins were first were used in
ancient Lydia in the late 7th century B.C. The burgeoning democratic
city-states of Classical Greece soon thereafter introduced similar
gold-coin standards, which rapidly spread Westward to most of the
city-states republics, including Rome. In the heyday of the Athenian
empire, the city's silver tetradrachm was the first coin to achieve
"international standard" status in Mediterranean trade. Silver
remained the most common monetary metal used in ordinary
transactions until the 20th century.
Aureus minted in 193 by Septimius Severus. The Persian Empire
collected taxes in gold and minted its own gold coin, known in the
West as the δαρεικός, dareikos in Greek, or daricus in Latin. When
Persia was conquered by Alexander the Great, this gold became the
basis for the gold coinage of Alexander's Macedon Empire and those
of his Diadochi. The vast gold hoard of the Persian kings was put
into monetary circulation, triggering the first known "worldwide"
inflation event.
Solidus of Justinian II, ca. 705 Ancient Rome minted two important
gold coins: the aureus, which was ~7 grams of gold alloyed with
silver, and the smaller solidus, which weighed 4.4 grams, of which
4.2 was gold. Roman and Byzantine coins were frequently alloyed with
other metals of much lower value to create the seigniorage necessary
for a rational system of government money.
After the Roman Emperor Gallienus, who ruled from 253 to 268
introduced a monetary reform in which surface-overvalued coins were
no longer accepted for tax payments, war inflation became
symptomatic of the Empire's new and fatal flaw. For the surface
overvaluation of an emergency coinage would soon degenerate to where
the coinage simply traded for its metallic value, thereby
eliminating the ability of the senate-constrained government to
collect seigniorage at critical times. Remarkably, the flaw was not
repaired until after the fall of the Empire and the times of
Justinian in the East and Theodoric the Great, the first of the
Germanic Ostrogothic emperors in the West.
The dinar and dirham were gold and silver coins, respectively,
originally minted by the Persians. The Caliphates in the Islamic
world adopted these coins, starting with Caliph Abd al-Malik
(685–705).
In 1284 the Republic of Venice coined the ducat, its first solid
gold coin. Other coins, the florin, noble, grosh, złoty, and guinea,
were also introduced at this time by other European states to
facilitate growing trade.
Beginning with the conquest of the Aztec and Inca Empires, Spain had
access to stocks of new gold for coinage in addition to silver. The
wide availability of milled and cob gold coins made it possible for
the West Indies to make gold the only legal tender in 1704. The
circulation of Spanish coins was later to create the unit of account
for the United States, the "dollar", based on the Spanish silver
real, and Philadelphia's currency market was to trade in Spanish
colonial coins.
The Crisis of Silver Currency and Bank Notes (1750–1870)
In the late 18th century wars and trade with China, which sold many
trade goods to Europe but had little use for European goods, drained
silver from the economies of Western Europe and the United States.
Coins were struck in smaller and smaller amounts, and there was a
proliferation of bank and Demand Notes used as money.
In the 1790s Britain suffered a massive shortage of silver coinage
and ceased to mint larger silver coins. It issued "token" silver
coins and overstruck foreign coins. With the end of the Napoleonic
Wars, Britain began a massive recoinage program that created
standard gold Sovereigns and circulating crowns, half-crowns, and
eventually copper farthings in 1821. In 1833, Bank of England notes
were made legal tender, and redemption by other banks was
discouraged. In 1844 the Bank Charter Act established that Bank of
England notes, fully backed by gold, were the legal standard.
According to the strict interpretation of the gold standard, this
1844 Act marks the establishment of a full gold standard for British
money.
There were 113 grains (7.32g) of gold to one pound sterling.
The U.S. adopted a silver standard based on the "Spanish milled
dollar" in July 1785. This was codified in the 1792 Mint and Coinage
Act. This began a long series of attempts for United States to
create a bimetallic standard for the US Dollar, which was to
continue until the 1930s. Because of the huge debt taken on by the
US Federal Government to finance the Revolutionary War, silver coins
struck by the government left circulation, and in 1806 President
Jefferson suspended the minting of silver coins. The US Treasury was
put on a strict "hard money" standard, doing business only in gold
or silver coin as part of the Independent Treasury Act of 1846,
which legally separated the accounts of the Federal Government from
the banking system. Following Gresham's law, silver poured into the
US, which traded with other silver nations, and gold moved out. In
1853, the US reduced the silver weight of coins, to keep them in
circulation.
Establishment of the International Gold Standard
When Germany became a unified country following the Franco-Prussian
War; it established the mark. Rapidly most other nations followed
suit. Gold became a transportable, universal and stable unit of
valuation, and the world's dominant economy, the United Kingdom, had
a longstanding commitment to the gold standard.
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Dates of adoption of a Gold
Standard
1695: United Kingdom at £1 to 113 grains (7.32g) of gold.
1818: Netherlands at 1 guilder to 0.60561g gold
1854: Portugal at 1000 réis to 1.62585g gold
1871: Germany at 2790 Goldmarks to 1kg gold
1873: Latin Monetary Union (Belgium, Italy, Switzerland, France) at
31 francs to 9g gold
1873: United States de facto at 20.67 dollars to 1 troy oz
1875: Scandinavian monetary union: (Denmark, Norway and Sweden) at
2480 kroner to 1kg gold
1876: France internally
1876: Spain at 31 pesetas to 9g gold
1878: Finland at 31 marks to 9g gold
1879: Austria (Austrian florin and Austrian crown)
1893: Russia at 31 roubles to 24g gold
1897: Japan at 1 yen to 1.5g gold
1898: India (Indian rupee)
1900: United States de jure. |
Throughout the U.S. post-Civil War decade of the 1870s the unstable
economic environment created periodic demands for silver currency.
However, such attempts generally failed, and continued the general
pressure towards a gold standard. By 1879, only gold coins were
accepted through the Latin Monetary Union, composed of France,
Italy, Belgium, Switzerland and later Greece, even though silver
was, in theory, a circulating medium.
Gold Standard from peak to crisis (1901–1932)
As in previous major wars under its gold standard, the British
government suspended the convertibility of Bank of England notes to
gold in 1914 to fund military operations during World War I. By the
end of the war Britain was on a series of fiat currency regulations,
which monetized Postal Money Orders and Treasury Notes. The
government later called these notes Banknotes, which are different
from US Treasury Notes. The United States government took similar
measures. After the war, Germany, having lost much of its gold in
reparations, could no longer coin gold "Reichsmarks" and moved to
paper currency. This caused a currency crisis, hyperinflation
followed, and, although the Weimar Republic later introduced the "rentenmark"
and later the gold-backed reichsmark in an effort to control
hyperinflation, it was too late. The middle class was wiped out; and
the scene was set for the rise of Adolf Hitler.
Also as in previous major wars under the gold standard, the UK was
returned to the gold standard in 1925, by a somewhat reluctant
Winston Churchill, who was not an expert in monetary history.
However, Churchill appears to have set it too low. Although a higher
gold price and significant inflation had followed the wartime
suspension, Churchill similarly followed tradition by resuming
conversion payments at the pre-war gold price. It is a mystery as to
why this was done.
The brief benefit was that for five
years prior to 1925, the gold price had been managed downward to the
pre-war level, causing deflation throughout those countries of the
British Empire and Commonwealth using the Pound Sterling. But the
rise in demand for gold for conversion payments that followed the
similar European resumptions from 1925 to 1928 meant a further rise
in demand for gold relative to goods and therefore the need for a
lower price of goods because of the fixed rate of conversion from
money to goods.
Because of these price declines and
predictable depressionary effects, the British government finally
abandoned the gold standard on September 20, 1931. Sweden abandoned the gold
standard in October 1931; and other European nations soon followed.
Even the U.S. government, which possessed most of the world's gold,
moved to cushion the effects of the Great Depression by raising the
official price of gold (from about $20 to $35 per ounce) and thereby
substantially raising the equilibrium price level in 1933-4.
But the question remains: why did the
British government not change the Gold Standard rather than abandon
it? The impact of John Maynard Keynes was important because he
provided an intellectual framework for doing away with gold and
silver. Keynesian economics appealed to politicians who wanted an
endless supply of currency to fund their aspirations for bigger
government, welfare states, endless wars, space programs, and the
like. Inflation seemed like a small price to pay.
Depression and World War II
During the 1939–1942 period, the UK depleted much of its gold stock
in purchases of munitions and weaponry on a "cash and carry" basis
from the U.S. and other raw materials from Canada and Australia and
other nations. This depletion of the UK's gold reserve convinced
Winston Churchill of the impracticality of returning to a pre-war
style gold standard. John Maynard Keynes, who had argued against
such a gold standard, became increasingly influential. Nevertheless,
his theories were rejected in 1944 Bretton Woods Agreement,
which established the IMF and an international gold standard based
on convertibility of the various national currencies into a U.S.
dollar that was in turn convertible into gold.
Advantages of a Gold and Silver Standard
Without a gold standard, governments can print as much money as they
want, destroying wealth through inflation. The history of money
consists of three phases: commodity money, in which actual valuable
objects are bartered; then representative money, in which paper
notes (often called 'certificates') are used to represent real
commodities stored elsewhere; and finally fiat money, in which paper
notes are backed only by use of' "lawful force and legal tender
laws" of the government, in particular by its acceptability for
payments of debts to the government (usually taxes).
Commodity money is inconvenient to store and transport and is
subject to hoarding. It also does not allow the government to
control or regulate the flow of commerce within their dominion with
the same ease that a standardized currency does. As such, commodity
money gave way to representative money, and gold and other specie
were retained as its backing.
Gold was a common form of representative money due to its rarity,
durability, divisibility, fungibility, and ease of identification,
often in conjunction with silver. Silver was typically the main
circulating medium, with gold as the metal of monetary reserve. The
primary advantage of gold or silver backed currency is it self
regulates. Therefore there is no government tinkering with the boom
and bust business cycles that accompany fiat-based currency.
The Gold Standard variously specified how the gold backing would be
implemented, including the amount of specie per currency unit. The
currency itself is just paper and so has no innate value, but is
accepted by traders because it can be redeemed any time for the
equivalent specie. A US silver certificate, for example, could be
redeemed for an actual piece of silver.
Representative money and the Gold Standard protect citizens from
hyperinflation and other abuses of monetary policy, as were seen in
some countries during the Great Depression.
However, they were not without their
problems and critics, and so were partially abandoned via the
international adoption of the Bretton Woods System. That system
eventually collapsed on August 15th 1971, when President Nixon took the U.S. out
of the Bretton Woods system.
For the first time in history, all
nations of the world had fiat currency as money.
Former US Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan argued that before
the advent of monetarism:
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"under the gold
standard, a free banking system stands as the protector
of an economy's stability and balanced growth... The
abandonment of the gold standard made it possible for
the welfare statists to use the banking system as a
means to an unlimited expansion of credit... In the
absence of the gold standard, there is no way to protect
savings from confiscation through inflation." |
Greenspan famously argued the case for
returning to a gold standard in his 1966 paper "Gold and Economic
Freedom", in which he described supporters of fiat currencies as
"welfare statists" hell-bent on using monetary printing presses to
finance deficit spending. He has argued that the fiat money system
of today has retained the favourable properties of the gold standard
because central bankers have pursued monetary policy as if a gold
standard were still in place.
About twenty years' later, Greenspan
then went on to head the Federal Reserve, and massively increased
the US dollar supply of currency, from the late 1980's through to
the early part of the 21st century. Ben Bernanke followed in his
stead, to create the biggest fiat currency expansion the world has
ever seen.
Arguments against a Gold Standard
Argument 1: There aint enough
Gold to go around
The total amount of gold that has ever been mined has been estimated
at around 142,000 tons. Assuming a gold price of US$1,000 per ounce,
or $32,500 per kilogram, the total value of all the gold ever mined
would be around $4 trillion. This is less than the value of
circulating money in the U.S. alone, where more than $7.6 trillion
is in circulation or in deposit (although international banking
currently practices fractional reserves). Therefore, a return to the
gold standard would result in a significant increase in the current
value of gold, which may limit its use in current applications. For
example, instead of using the ratio of $1,000 per ounce, the ratio
can be defined as $2,000 per ounce (or $1,000 per 1/2 ounce)
effectively raising the value of gold to $8 trillion dollars. Gold
standard advocates consider this to be an acceptable and necessary
risk.
This sort of argument is wrong for at
least two reasons. The first reason is that it assumes that a rising
gold price in relation to all fiat currencies is a bad thing.
However, if you own gold, it is a good thing. Moreover, no one would
suggest that if house prices double, it is a bad thing. The second
reason why this sort of argument is wrong forgets that we now have
$1,000 to an ounce of Gold is because of the devaluation of the U.S.
dollar, which has lost 97% of its value since 1913, as a result of
the Federal Reserve system, uncontrolled currency creation, and the
use of fiat currency.
Argument 2: Governments need to
have the ability to respond to economic crises and the Gold Standard
may prevent them from doing it
It is difficult for a government to manipulate a gold standard to
tailor to an economy’s demand for money, giving central banks fewer
options to respond to economic crises. For central banks to operate
they need to be able to create or reduce the money supply. Put
simply, in a recession, the central bank increases the growth of the
money supply to create an inflationary boom; and in an inflationary
period, the central bank reduces the growth of the money supply to
create a recession or depression.
The problem with this argument is that
in practise things do not work out like this. No Government will
willingly create a recession or they will lose the next election.
Moreover, reducing the growth of the money supply affects the
government's own ability to spend, and as a consequence the central
banks are unlikely to bring down a government by the creation of a
recession. Therefore there will always be a temptation for central
bankers to deal with all crises by increasing the growth of the
money supply. Since the Great Depression, which was extenuated by
the Federal Reserve policy to reduce the money supply, this seems to
be what is most likely to happen.
If a country has a financial crises,
the only solution politicians understand is to create another boom
based upon a massive easing of the currency supply, and by
increasing government spending. This reduces the value of the currency or money in
your pocket; but you do not notice it because the inflation tax is
hard to spot.
Argument 3: The Gold Standard
may make a government's position weaker
Some have contended that the gold standard may be susceptible to
speculative attacks when a governments financial position appears
weak. For example, some conspiracy theorists believe the United
States was forced to raise its interest rates and reduce its money
supply in the middle of the Great Depression to defend the
credibility of its currency.
However, the currency of the U.S. was
not under attack and could have been defended easily by the U.S.
because it had such enormous Gold reserves. And yet it is possible
that this argument might be right in the case of a government who
spends more than it collects in taxes, and saves nothing for a rainy
day. With a gold standard, there is no where for a profligate
government to hide.
Differing definitions of Gold Standard
If the monetary authority holds sufficient gold to convert all
circulating money, then this is known as a 100% reserve gold
standard, or a full gold standard. In some cases it is referred to
as the Gold Specie Standard to more easily separate it from the
other forms of gold standard that have existed at various times. The
100% reserve standard is generally considered unworkable because the
quantity of gold in the world is too small a quantity of money to
sustain current worldwide economic activity and the "right" quantity
of money (i.e. one that avoids either inflation or deflation) is not
a fixed quantity, but varies continuously with the level of
commercial activity. This is wrong, of course, because it assumes
that the price of gold cannot or should not rise in relation to the
expansion or contraction of the fiat money supply. However, if gold
became valued at, say, $6,000 to $12,000 an ounce, then there would
be more than enough gold.
Stability offered by Gold Standard
The gold standard limits the power of governments to inflate prices
through excessive issuance of paper currency. It is also creates
more certainty in international trade by providing a fixed pattern
of exchange rates. Under the classical international gold standard,
disturbances in the price level in one country would be wholly or
partly offset by an automatic balance-of-payment adjustment
mechanism called the "price specie flow mechanism." At the time of
the Bretton Woods agreement, it was believed that markets were
always internally clear; this is called Say's Law.
Mundell-Fleming
According to modern neo-classical synthesis economics, the Mundell-Fleming
Model describes the behaviour of currencies under a gold standard.
Since the value of the currencies is fixed by the par value of each
currency to gold, the remaining freedom of action is distributed
between free movement of capital, and effective monetary and fiscal
policy. One reason that most modern macro-economists do not support
a return to gold is the fear that this remaining amount of freedom
would be insufficient to combat large downturns or deflation, and
therefore prohibit government spending.
Advocates of a renewed Gold Standard
The return to the gold standard is supported by many followers of
the Austrian School of Economics, objectivists and
libertarians largely because they object to the role of the
government in issuing fiat currency through central banks. U.S.
Congressman Ron Paul is the leading advocate of a return to
the gold standard (or at least the legalization of competing
currencies which would include gold and silver) in the Western
world.
However, many prominent economists have also expressed sympathy with
a hard currency basis, and have argued against fiat money, including
former US Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan.
In 2001 Malaysian
Prime Minister Mahathir bin Mohamad
proposed a new currency that would be used initially for
international trade between Muslim nations. The currency he proposed
was called the islamic gold dinar and it was
defined as 4.25 grams
of 24 carat (100%) gold. Mahathir Mohamad promoted the concept on
the basis of its economic merits as a stable unit of account and
also as a political symbol to create greater unity between Islamic
nations. This move would be to reduce dependence on the United
States dollar as a reserve currency, and to establish a
non-debt-backed currency in accord with Islamic law. However, to
date, Mahathir's proposed gold-dinar currency has failed to happen.
Gold as a Reserve Today
Gold ingots still form an important currency reserve and store of
private wealth. During the 1990s Russia liquidated much of the
former USSR's gold reserves, while several other nations accumulated
gold in preparation for the Economic and Monetary Union. The Swiss
Franc left a full gold-convertible backing. However, gold reserves
are held in significant quantity by many nations as a means of
defending their currency, and hedging against the U.S. Dollar, which
forms the bulk of liquid currency reserves. Weakness in the U.S.
Dollar tends to be offset by strengthening of gold prices. Gold
remains a principal financial asset of almost all central banks
alongside foreign currencies and government bonds. It is also held
by central banks as a way of hedging against loans to their own
governments as an "internal reserve". Approximately 25% of all
above-ground gold is held in reserves by central banks.
Both gold coins and gold bars are widely traded in deeply liquid
markets, and therefore still serve as a private store of wealth.
Some privately issued currencies, such as digital gold currency, are
backed by gold reserves.
In 1999, to protect the value of gold as a reserve, European Central
Bankers signed the "Washington Agreement," which stated that they
would not allow gold leasing for speculative purposes, nor would
they "enter the market as sellers" except for sales that had already
been agreed upon.
Gold Sovereigns
Gold can be purchased by individuals
in the form of Gold Sovereigns.
PLEASE SEEK
PROFESSIONAL ADVICE BEFORE YOU BUY OR SELL GOLD, SILVER & COINS.
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